Current XOM is like a skydiver that was forced to jump out of the plane not wearing a parachute while being required to report back to the Flight Crew every 10 seconds with a status update.
For the first several updates, everything is going exactly per plan and the Flight Crew, especially the Captain, pats themselves on the back, hands out record bonuses to each other and determines that everything is going so great, the other skydivers on the plane are forced to jump sans-chute too.
But that last status update will eventually come in from the Ground Crew and no one but the Flight Crew will be surprised.